Another case of identical statistics between two teams, Montreal and DC, but both will be eliminated either way.Qualified: Minnesota United FC, Sporting Kansas CityAnother good set of predictions!
Goal differential, 3. The reason I used projected score was so that I could simulate the league with actual scores instead of just outcomes, so I could put together a workable table with goal statistics.Thanks for the Poisson distribution suggestion - will definitely look into it!Welcome to /r/MLS! 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Incidentally the Timbers felled both Philly and NYCFC in their actual run to the championship. that does seem to say something about the unpredictable nature of MLS though, if last season's data goes out the window after the new season starts.My apologies if I am misunderstanding you but I think you chose a bad metric here. News. Yes, but he's scarcely practiced with his teammates lately due to a quad injury and again, Tuesday was his first match since March 8 against Atlanta United. Schedule. In turn the rounding is a very reductive way of analyzing the already constrained data and does not take into account any nuance of the Projected Score values, i.e. Even as Tuesday's match didn't count toward the regular-season standings, it will be tough for fans to erase the memory of those moments.The sum of Cincinnati's time in Kissimmee, Florida at the ESPN Wide World of Sports can't be reduced to one player's epic night of high's and low's, of course.
All Major League Soccer trademarks and copyrights used by permission. That being said, here is my clumsy and simplistic methodology in my interpretation of the data, and the inherent limitations to my approach:I used FiveThirtyEight's Projected Score values (not to be confused with Expected Goals or Adjusted Goals) for each match, rounded to the nearest whole value, to represent each match's predicted score - for example, the opener between Orlando and Miami had a projected score of 1.14 for Orlando and 1.6 for Miami; rounded to the nearest whole number this gives a predicted score of Orlando 1:2 Miami. ... MLS is Back Group Standings.